If Bengals beat Broncos, then we beat Bengals

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If Bengals beat Broncos, then we beat Bengals

Post by Legacy User » Sun Dec 21, 2014 9:57 pm

in week 17...do we secure a 1st round bye?



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jeemie
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Post by jeemie » Sun Dec 21, 2014 9:59 pm

SteelBack wrote:in week 17...do we secure a 1st round bye?


Swiss just said no (and the Broncos would also have to lose to the Raiders next week, BTW).

The relevant tiebreaker is Strength of Victory.

Going into this week, we were trailing Denver in that category by 5.5 wins.
“Yeah we suck, be there is a chance we could suck slightly more if we try to correct the problem.” - Art Deuce (summarized by SteelPerch)

FortyThree
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Post by FortyThree » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:00 am

Under that scenario those 5.5 wins vanish if we beat Cincy and KC and they lose out.

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jeemie
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Post by jeemie » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:03 am

fortythree wrote:Under that scenario those 5.5 wins vanish if we beat Cincy and KC and they lose out.


Don't think so...we already beat Cincy...we don't get to add their wins in again, AFAIK.
“Yeah we suck, be there is a chance we could suck slightly more if we try to correct the problem.” - Art Deuce (summarized by SteelPerch)

FortyThree
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Post by FortyThree » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:06 am

KC has won more than 6 games.

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jeemie
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Post by jeemie » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:08 am

fortythree wrote:KC has won more than 6 games.


I am going to run the numbers and see what happens.
“Yeah we suck, be there is a chance we could suck slightly more if we try to correct the problem.” - Art Deuce (summarized by SteelPerch)

COS
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Post by COS » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:21 am

Playoff machine is saying no, not sure how official that really is though

swissvale72
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Post by swissvale72 » Mon Dec 22, 2014 12:40 am

I'd say it's extremely doubtful....maybe even impossible. After last week, Steelers trailed Denver in Strength of Victory tiebreaker by 5.5 games. If Denver loses tomorrow, Steelers would trail by 4.5 games.

That means if Steelers win next week, and Denver loses to Oakland...in DENVER....the 11 teams that Steelers have beaten would need to win 4.5 more games than the 11 teams that Denver has beaten. When considering that....keep in mind:
*Two of Steelers 11 wins would have been against Cinci...Denver will have lost against Cinci....so that's one of our wins that can't benefit SOV any more.
*Cinci will get at least a bump of one game, possibly two from KC/San Diego winner....so that's another one of our wins from which we can't benefit in SOV.

So that means that from our 9 remaining wins, we would need to garner 5.5 more victories than would Denver. Cleveland plays Baltimore...so it's now 6 wins to gain 4.5 games. Steelers and Denver both beat Indy...5 wins to gain 5.5 games.

I'd say it's impossible.

Carolina, Jax, Houston, Tennessee, Atlanta would all need to win

AZ, SF, Miami, Buff, Jets would all need to lose....Miami plays Jets...I think that seals it....can't happen.

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