it's still yggy wrote:Bell is looking at 40M+ guaranteed next year.
I just posted why I think PIT offer was effectively $36M guaranteed. If it would have gotten the deal done, I bet Colbert would have fully guaranteed the first two years.
You're not going to quibble over $4-5M more guaranteed at that point. Strictly about the total deal value.
Impossible to guess at the math Bell is doing, but I'm thinking he figures if he loses $5M sitting out that he'll make that up in guaranteed money. But he's probably hoping for a 5/$85M deal, which is $3M per year more.
Gurley's deal is not THAT comparable - he had a year left on his rookie deal, plus a 5th year option, plus then a franchise tag. But one way of looking at his deal is 4 extra years at an average of $14.4M per year (let's not ignore that such deals often take increasing caps into account). Another way is that it's a 6/$70.5M deal. He was already guaranteed $12M when you include the 5th-yr option.
If I'm Bell's agent, I don't think I'm pointing to the Gurley deal unless Bell outperforms him (unlikely). Plus, Gurley could have taken out a $10M insurance policy (giving him $22M in guarantees) and played Bell's game....so we can assume Gurley thought that deal was fair and in the ball park of what he might expect as a FA.