Professor Half Wit wrote: ↑Thu May 21, 2020 4:58 pm
1. We didn't and still don't have enough SWABS properly to test everyone. Swabs!
No country does. It is completely unrealistic to test 330M in a month, much less a week or day. Failure is inevitable against unrealistic standards.
Professor Half Wit wrote: ↑Thu May 21, 2020 4:58 pm
2. Privacy concerns? Maybe, but I don't buy citizens would have been THAT unpatriotic.
LOL. I strongly disagree if you've followed tech and libertarian blogs over the years.
Professor Half Wit wrote: ↑Thu May 21, 2020 4:58 pm
3. "people were never going to comply with locking down borders and sheltering in place back in late January when it could have made a difference"
It's absolutely true. The ban on travel from China, which as it turns out was too late, was widely mocked and ridiculed as xenophobic. I think you're forgetting what the major consensus/view was back in January, and well into February.
I mean, people are refusing to be inconvenienced just to wear a fucking mask to the store. A lockdown and invasion of privacy was never going to work until the threat hit home for them. NY identified a community spread case pretty early, traced 50+ contacts, and locked down New Rochelle(?). That was already far too late as asymptomatic carriers were spreading it rampantly throughout NYC. The strain that came from Europe (not China) was much more transmissible and, as it turns out, probably much higher % of asymptomatic carriers.
Professor Half Wit wrote: ↑Thu May 21, 2020 4:58 pm
So much for American exceptionalism, I guess. If S. Korea could do it, so could have we. We fucked up end of story. We have the ingenuity, we have the resources. Failure of federal leadership plain and simple.
It's pretty hard to declare success or failure when you're in the middle of your peer group. SK might have had some advantageous cultural differences, or it might be because of past experience with pandemics (read: our "failure" was already predetermined). I can find many states in the US that are better than SK. If you're going city by city who gets the credit and blame? Or perhaps the analysis is far more complicated than that.
I explained a number of reasons why this might be a logical fallacy. Japan didn't do shit and they don't have an issue, either. I'm pretty sure you will find a STRONG correlation to population density and proximity to a major international airport. There are outliers, but the issue is far more complex than you've made it out. Germany also has done well and they didn't do anything different than the US and the rest of Europe.
Professor Half Wit wrote: ↑Thu May 21, 2020 4:58 pm
5. ...the failure of federal leadership to switch into wartime test production mode and the necessity, severity, and length of the lockdowns.
But they did. There just weren't good plans in place to start shitting out PPE and ventilators in days. That's why I pointed out the CDC testimony as refuting many things that were widely reported. Europe also struggled with developing their own tests. And still struggling to contact trace. To the degree that SK was successful because of that it's because of their experience with SARS and H1N!. Clearly the US assumed the oceans provided adequate social distance.