Pens vs Flames (11/23/22)

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Pabst
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Pens vs Flames (11/23/22)

Post by Pabst » Tue Nov 22, 2022 8:56 pm

Getting this up a day early since I might not have time to do so tomorrow. I haven't done a deep-dive analytics piece in a while, so let's go!

The Flames are a team that, on the surface, should be pretty good. They are a top 5 possession team (#4 in both Corsi and Fenwick) at 5 on 5. Special teams are average - middle of the pack in both PP and PK. So why are they only clinging on to the final WC spot out west? Two reasons:
1. Goaltending. Jacob Markstrom had a career season last year and he's come back down to earth. At the moment, he's allowing just over 3 goals/game and is sporting a lousy .889 save %.

2. Those top 5 possession metrics I mentioned earlier? Great example of quantity over quality. Yes, the Flames are third in the NHL for shots/game.....but they are 21st in Scoring Chances and 18th in High Danger chances. This is a team that's content to throw pucks at the net and hope for the best.


Some other good news (at least on paper) - This will be game #4 of a six game road trip for Calgary. They were in Florida last weekend (where they went 1-1) and they beat Philly on Monday. Hopefully they're dragging a bit on Thursday night.

I'll try to post lines tomorrow.



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fractalsteel
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Post by fractalsteel » Wed Nov 23, 2022 12:46 am

Nice little road win streak for the Birdies. They got really good Center play with Crosby being player of the week, Malkin being a stud in the 200 foot game and Carter and Blueger solid up and down the ice.

Team defense is still a bit of a concern but there hasn't been much issue with putting the puck in the net.

Still waiting for Rush to go on a streak.

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Pabst
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Post by Pabst » Wed Nov 23, 2022 5:23 pm

Adam Ruzicka - Elias Lindholm - Tyler Toffoli
Dillon Dube - Nazem Kadri - Andrew Mangiapane
Jonathan Huberdeau - Mikael Backlund - Blake Coleman
Milan Lucic - Kevin Rooney - Trevor Lewis

Noah Hanifin / Rasmus Andersson
Nikita Zadorov / MacKenzie Weegar
Dennis Gilbert / Chris Tanev

Daniel Vladar

^ Pensinsidescoop is saying Vladar was the first goalie off the ice following Calgary's morning skate, indicating he'll be the starter. I was surprised until I saw that Markstrom has started 15/18 games thus far for the flames....that's an unsustainable pace. Jarry is in net for the Pens.


Jake Guentzel - Sidney Crosby - Rickard Rakell
Jason Zucker - Evgeni Malkin - Bryan Rust
Brock McGinn - Jeff Carter - Danton Heinen
Ryan Poehling - Teddy Blueger - Josh Archibald

Marcus Pettersson / Kris Letang
P.O. Joseph / Jeff Petry
Brian Dumoulin / Jan Rutta

Tristan Jarry

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fractalsteel
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Post by fractalsteel » Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:45 pm

Might see a regrouped top power play unit.

2 D
Petry(point) and Letang on the half wall. Forwards
87/71/59

This is from practice

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Pabst
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Post by Pabst » Thu Nov 24, 2022 1:10 am

fractalsteel wrote:
Wed Nov 23, 2022 11:45 pm
Might see a regrouped top power play unit.

2 D
Petry(point) and Letang on the half wall. Forwards
87/71/59

This is from practice
I tuned in for the power play at the end of the period and it looked like there were indeed 2 defensemen out there.

On another note, we had a nice 3 month streak going, but the boys are sick again. Going to be an early night for me.

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fractalsteel
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Post by fractalsteel » Thu Nov 24, 2022 1:24 am

Vladar has been good but a little lucky.

Jarry is very focused and his positioning has been solid.

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Post by Orangesteel » Thu Nov 24, 2022 3:01 am

Super evenly matched game. Good for Geno. Cool shit right there.
“Thoughts are a waste of time for me.” - Michael Pettaway Tomlin

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Post by bradshaw2ben » Thu Nov 24, 2022 4:08 am

Geno I'm score.
"When things are really stupid I am not surprised. It surprises me when things are going well." ––well-known Steelers observer, Frank Zappa

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