Post
by jmacinwbp » Wed Oct 11, 2023 12:01 am
B2B,
Thanks for the well thought out, and detailed reply. There are some things in it that I really didn't look for when watching most of Pickett's final season at Pitt. What you listed is easier for me to absorb and review, vs. things like "not throwing receivers open", which is a phrase I always hated, even back when there were Ben doubters using it.
I saw many successful out of structure plays in his last Pitt year, but looked at them as a positive for a future NFL QB, because it's one of the things that I've always thought as important to see, since there aren't many who do that well when they need to break from the plan (BB7s alien like ability in this area is why I immediately loved his game).
To my eyes, after last year's bye, out of structure was one of KP8s strengths, didn't see enough of them, but when they were necessary e.g. when play calling was less of a deterrent at the end of games, the success was there. Also, didn't realize he always tended to leave clean pockets in his non pro career, even when his Online was stout, or clearly superior to what was on the other side. If I can still find some Pitt replays online, will review them looking for bailing on clean pockets.
Perch's link wasn't very helpful from my perspective, completely stats based analysis, and with what seemed to me, using rigged stats anyway...guess it was intentional (maybe because of there being a one season outlier for Pickett), but keeping in the most productive season for every QB listed in his responses, except for Pickett, where his best season was missing, didn't seem to be a useful way to compare how much better the others stats were compared to Pickett's, if you're using them to predict future viability in the NFL.
After reviewing that link, and his latest responses in this thread, think I get where he's coming from. Seems like his takes are primarily based on what he sees in the statistical trends, without much consideration for any external context. Which is fine, and probably going to be predictive most of the time, but I like to go beyond stats when evaluating players on our team, and wait at least 2-3 seasons before definitely bailing, unless of course there are no redeeming qualities in the player.
I still see some in Pickett, with a few showing on the all 22 of the ratbitds game I watched early this morning. Gotta watch it again, focusing exclusively on the Offense, and KP8 specifically, but I didn't see anywhere near the amount of bailing from a clean pocket, or even happy feet, from him this week vs. most of the previous games this season. Saw some other positives too, and plan on noting them on the next view, but there were probably two, maybe three throws if you include the Robinson falling down in the end zone throw, that I don't see how the hell the ball goes there.
This was a trend I noticed right out of the gate in game one of this season (some wildly inaccurate passes), that I saw some of in the latter part of last year, but no where near as much as this year. It was inexplicable to me, was thinking maybe he still hadn't figured out how to account for the extra thickness, and possible arm strength, from his off season training, but your reason of over rushing the motion seems more plausible.